Scenario map

Empire By Default

Each scenario takes one long horizon question and maps the distinct, internally coherent ways it could resolve, plus which assumptions each path rests on.

Methodology

Scenario record · pathway map

Where could this scenario break?

Pathway camps show coherent worlds. Load-bearing assumptions reveal what those worlds depend on, and model disagreement identifies the fault lines worth inspecting.

Components

Pathways

Necessary

Hinge

Pathway map · 0 camps

Rows are coherent pathway camps and columns are load-bearing assumptions. Start with the highlighted fault line, expand a camp only when you need the pathway-level audit trail, and click any column to inspect what the worlds depend on.

Inspector

Click a column to inspect a component (how many pathways depend on it, where the models stand, the YES/NO split). Click a row to inspect a pathway (which assumptions it commits to). The grid shows the actual state assignments across all 0 possible worlds.

empire-by-default · 0 pathways · 0 components in use · showing top 0 assumptions

All pathways

Pathways specify only load bearing assumptions; unspecified components are model-determined during polling. Green marks alignment with a pathway's assumption, red marks tension.