Analysis: How is Lebanon's Hezbollah Regrouping After War with Israel?
BEIRUT, Lebanon - A year after the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Lebanon's Hezbollah, reports indicate that the group is regrouping and attempting to find a new footing in the region. Analysts believe that while a weakened Hezbollah may no longer pose a significant threat to Israel, it can still create chaos and challenge opponents domestically.
According to sources close to the group, Hezbollah has been working to rebuild its military capabilities and strengthen its ties with Iran. "Hezbollah is trying to regain its lost momentum," said Amal Kassir, a Beirut-based analyst. "They're looking for ways to reassert their influence in Lebanon and the region."
The assassination of Nasrallah marked a significant blow to Hezbollah's power and prestige. The group had been seen as one of the strongest non-state armed actors in the region, but its military capabilities were severely weakened during the 2024 war with Israel.
In the aftermath of the war, there was an international push for Hezbollah to disarm entirely. However, analysts believe that this pressure has only served to further galvanize support for the group among its loyal base. "The calls for disarming have been seen as a threat to their very existence," said Kassir. "Hezbollah is now more determined than ever to preserve its military capabilities and maintain its influence in Lebanon."
Background on Hezbollah's rise to prominence dates back to the 1980s, when it was formed as a resistance movement against Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon. Over the years, the group has evolved into a powerful political and military force, with significant ties to Iran.
The international community has long been wary of Hezbollah's activities, viewing them as a threat to regional stability. However, analysts believe that the group's weakened state may now pose less of a risk to Israel and its allies.
"Hezbollah is no longer the dominant force it once was," said Dr. Fadi Hakura, a Middle East expert at Chatham House. "Their military capabilities have been significantly reduced, and their influence in Lebanon has waned."
Despite this, Hezbollah remains a significant player in Lebanese politics and continues to wield considerable influence over the country's government. Analysts believe that the group will continue to play a key role in shaping Lebanon's future.
As for what lies ahead, analysts predict that Hezbollah will continue to face pressure from international actors to disarm. However, they also expect the group to resist these efforts and maintain its military capabilities.
"Hezbollah is not going anywhere," said Kassir. "They'll continue to play a major role in Lebanese politics and regional affairs."
In conclusion, while Hezbollah's power and influence may have waned in recent years, the group remains a significant force in Lebanon and the region. As it continues to regroup and rebuild its military capabilities, analysts believe that Hezbollah will remain a key player in shaping the future of the Middle East.
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*Reporting by Aljazeera.*