Removing 50 High-Risk Space Objects from Orbit Could Halve Collision Danger
A new study has identified the top 50 most concerning pieces of space debris in low-Earth orbit, revealing that nearly three-quarters of these hazardous objects are relics from last century and primarily consist of dead rockets. According to Darren McKnight, lead author of a paper presented at the International Astronautical Congress in Sydney, "The things left before 2000 are still the majority of the problem."
The study found that 76% of the objects in the top 50 were deposited last century, and 88% of the objects are rocket bodies. These objects are hurtling through space at high speeds, posing a significant threat to the creation of more space junk through collisions with other debris fragments. If removed, experts estimate that this would cut the danger from space junk in half, preventing a potentially catastrophic scenario known as the Kessler Syndrome.
The majority of these hazardous objects are remnants of old rocket launches, which were left to orbit after their missions were completed. According to McKnight, "Seventy-six percent of the objects in the top 50 were deposited last century." This highlights the importance of addressing the legacy space debris problem, rather than just focusing on new satellite launches.
The Kessler Syndrome refers to a situation where the accumulation of space debris leads to an exponential increase in collisions and fragmentation, resulting in a catastrophic buildup of junk. Experts warn that if left unchecked, this could lead to a point where it becomes impossible to launch new satellites without risking collision with existing debris.
Removing these 50 high-risk objects from orbit is not a straightforward task. According to McKnight, "It's not just a matter of grabbing them and bringing them back down." The objects are often in highly elliptical orbits, making it difficult to predict their exact location and trajectory. Additionally, the cost and complexity of retrieving these objects would be significant.
Despite the challenges, experts believe that removing these hazardous objects is crucial for ensuring the long-term sustainability of space exploration. As McKnight noted, "We need to take action now to prevent a catastrophic scenario in the future."
The study's findings have sparked renewed calls for international cooperation on space debris mitigation and removal efforts. The United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) has been working on guidelines for responsible space activities, including measures to reduce space debris.
In conclusion, the removal of 50 high-risk space objects from orbit could significantly reduce the danger posed by space junk in low-Earth orbit. While the task is complex and challenging, experts agree that it is essential for ensuring the long-term sustainability of space exploration.
This story was compiled from reports by Ars Technica and Ars Technica.