South Africa's sovereign credit rating is set to be reviewed by SP Global Inc. on Friday, with economists predicting an upgrade from its current high yield BB- rating. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) CEO, Leila Fourie, has expressed her optimism about the country's market prospects, citing improved investor sentiment and a recovery in its markets and listings pipeline.
According to data from the JSE, the country's stock market has shown significant gains in recent months, with the FTSE/JSE All Share Index rising by 12.5% year-to-date, outperforming its emerging market peers. The index has also seen a surge in foreign investor interest, with foreign inflows reaching R35.6 billion (approximately $2.3 billion USD) in the first nine months of the year, a 25% increase from the same period in 2024.
The JSE has also seen a significant increase in listings, with 25 new listings in the first nine months of the year, compared to just 15 in the same period in 2024. This has led to a 15% increase in market capitalization, with the total value of listed companies now standing at R12.3 trillion (approximately $820 billion USD).
Fourie attributed the improved investor sentiment to the country's economic reforms and efforts to attract foreign investment. She also noted that the JSE's markets and listings pipeline show signs of a recovery, with a number of large-cap companies expected to list in the coming months.
The upgrade in South Africa's sovereign credit rating, if it occurs, is expected to have a positive impact on the country's economy, making it easier for companies to access capital and reducing borrowing costs. It could also lead to an increase in foreign investment, further boosting the country's economic growth.
The JSE's optimism about the country's market prospects is shared by economists, who have been predicting an upgrade in South Africa's sovereign credit rating for some time. Andrew Matheny, an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., has been one of the most vocal proponents of an upgrade, citing the country's improved economic fundamentals and reduced debt levels.
While there are still challenges facing South Africa's economy, including high inflation and a large budget deficit, the country's market prospects look increasingly positive. The upgrade in its sovereign credit rating, if it occurs, will be a significant milestone in the country's economic recovery and will likely have a positive impact on the JSE and the broader economy.
In conclusion, the JSE's CEO, Leila Fourie, has expressed her optimism about the country's market prospects, citing improved investor sentiment and a recovery in its markets and listings pipeline. The upgrade in South Africa's sovereign credit rating, if it occurs, is expected to have a positive impact on the country's economy, making it easier for companies to access capital and reducing borrowing costs.
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