Trump's Middle East Envoys Push Lebanon into Disarmament Plan, Raising Fears of Civil War
BEIRUT, LEBANON - In a move that has sent shockwaves throughout the region, the Lebanese government announced on August 7 that all militias in the country, including Hezbollah, would be disarmed by the end of 2025. The plan, an initiative led by President Donald Trump's envoys to the Middle East, aims to bring prosperity and stability to Lebanon, but critics warn it could lead to another civil war.
According to sources close to the negotiations, the disarmament plan is a direct result of the November 2024 ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel. Since then, the group has been unable to intervene in conflicts in Gaza or Iran, leaving it vulnerable to pressure from its adversaries. "This is a moment of weakness for Hezbollah," said a senior Lebanese official, who wished to remain anonymous. "The Americans are taking advantage of this opportunity to push their agenda."
Supporters of the plan argue that disarmament will bring an end to the sectarian violence that has plagued Lebanon for decades and pave the way for economic growth. "This is a historic moment for Lebanon," said Morgan Ortagus, Deputy Special Envoy to the Middle East, who met with Lebanese parliamentarians in Beirut on August 26. "We believe that disarmament will bring stability and prosperity to this great country."
However, critics of the plan warn that it could lead to another civil war. Hezbollah's supporters see the disarmament plan as an attempt by the United States to undermine their power and influence. "This is a conspiracy against us," said Hassan Nasrallah, Secretary-General of Hezbollah. "We will not be disarmed without a fight."
Background context shows that Lebanon has been plagued by sectarian violence since its independence in 1943. The country's complex system of government, which gives disproportionate representation to the Christian minority, has led to tensions between different sects. In 2005, the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri sparked widespread protests and eventually led to the withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon.
International perspectives on the disarmament plan vary widely. The United States sees it as a key component of its Middle East strategy, aimed at promoting stability and security in the region. However, other countries, including Iran and Syria, have expressed concerns that the plan could lead to further instability.
The current status of the disarmament plan is uncertain, with both supporters and critics vowing to continue their efforts to shape the country's future. The Lebanese government has announced a series of measures aimed at implementing the plan, including the establishment of a new national security agency. However, many questions remain unanswered, including how the disarmament will be enforced and what consequences will face those who refuse to comply.
As the situation in Lebanon continues to unfold, one thing is clear: the fate of this fragile country hangs in the balance. Will the disarmament plan bring stability and prosperity, or will it lead to another civil war? Only time will tell.
*Reporting by Theintercept.*