The ensemble median sits at 3.80% with a collective 90% interval of 2.77% to 5.05%. The interval is ±2.27% wide. The four model medians sit within ±0.74% of each other. The factor resolves at the Dec 31, 2026 horizon.
Resolved value is the constant maturity 10-year Treasury yield as reported on the H.15 release for the last trading day of calendar year 2026, in percent annualized.