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Crene API, Developer Documentation

API · Public evidence layer

Public decision record API.

Read the public evidence behind Crene decision records as JSON. Public endpoints expose the resolved-event corpus, active forecasts, thesis records, factors, scenarios, model leaderboard, category coverage, and calibration metrics. Write access for arbitrary forward-looking questions remains part of private review.
Quick start

Public read endpoints over the Crene corpus. No key required for current reads. Returns JSON.

Base URL
https://api-get.crene.com
Try it

Canonical platform stats: model leaderboard, category breakdown, active and resolved counts, broad corpus calibration metrics.

curl https://api-get.crene.com/api/events/crene_stats/
Other public endpoints
Resolved-event calibration summary
curl https://api-get.crene.com/api/events/accuracy/
Active binary forecasts feed, most recent first
curl https://api-get.crene.com/api/events/lang/en/?limit=20
Public thesis maps and frozen records
curl https://api-get.crene.com/api/clusters/
Factor system health
curl https://api-get.crene.com/api/factors/health/
Archived scenario records with pathway and component distribution
curl https://api-get.crene.com/api/scenarios/

The Probability endpoint, write access for arbitrary forward-looking questions, is available through private review access. Teams can request access below.

Authentication

The Probability endpoint requires a key passed as the X-API-Key header. Read endpoints over the Crene corpus remain public.

Resolved outcomes are tied to named sources, including government data, central banks, SEC filings, primary financial reporting, and authoritative secondary reporting where appropriate. Full provenance is stored per event. How resolution works

GET/api/events/lang/en/Active binary forecasts. Four-model consensus across macro, rates, crypto, commodities, central banks, and policy events.
GET/api/events/accuracy/Resolved-event calibration summary. Brier scores, directional accuracy, confidence tiers, and domain breakdowns.
GET/api/events/crene_stats/Canonical platform stats: active and resolved counts, broad corpus calibration metrics, model leaderboard, and coverage.
Live corpus stats
LIVE
…
Active binary forecasts
Across macro, crypto, commodities, central banks, policy, and market events.
…
Resolved questions
Verified against named sources. Binary outcomes are Brier scored.
3
Live thesis maps
309 active components. Warsh Fed rate path, AI economic realization, and AI content dominance.
347
Active drivers
3 anchor factors with driver trees: SPX, UST10Y, and US GDP attributable to AI.
400
Scenario pathways
Across 4 active scenario systems: AI labor, US GDP share, European rearmament, and India growth-pole questions.
Access
Available today
Public read endpoints

Read access over the Crene corpus. Returns JSON. No key required for current reads. Stable URLs.

View endpoints ↑
Private review access
The Probability endpoint

Write access for arbitrary forward-looking questions starts with a private thesis review. Submit one real thesis first, then we scope API cadence and delivery around the review workflow.

Start with one thesis →