Vox's Future Perfect staff, along with other experts, released their predictions for major global events in 2026, marking the seventh consecutive year of such forecasts. The predictions, published January 1, 2026, leaned towards a pessimistic outlook, addressing issues ranging from the stability of U.S. electoral democracy to the potential for a global recession.
The forecasts included assessments of the likelihood of war in Taiwan, further state-level bans on lab-cultivated meat in the United States, and the probability of a Category 5 hurricane making landfall in the U.S. The team also considered less dire, albeit still significant, possibilities, such as the potential release of a rock album by Beyoncé.
According to the report, each prediction was assigned a probability to reflect the confidence level of the forecasters. This approach, the staff noted, was intended to exemplify "epistemic honesty."
The annual forecast aims to provide readers with informed perspectives on potential future events, drawing on the expertise of Vox staff and external contributors. The predictions cover a wide array of topics, reflecting the interconnectedness of global issues and the challenges facing the international community.
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