Terms of Service

These Terms of Service ("Terms") constitute a binding agreement between you (the "Customer") and Crene, Inc., a Delaware corporation with its principal place of business in California ("Crene", "we", "us").

By accessing the platform at https://crene.com, using the API at https://api-get.crene.com, or licensing a Crene dataset, you accept these Terms. If you accept on behalf of a company or other legal entity, you represent that you have authority to bind that entity.

Crene provides probability infrastructure for institutional decisions. The service consists of:

• ·Resolved Event Corpus. A continuously growing dataset of calibrated probability forecasts on macro, earnings, central bank, commodities, crypto, and policy events. Each event carries the original four model probability series, consensus, cross model disagreement, confidence classification, and (when resolved) the verifying source and outcome.
• ·Public read API. Unauthenticated read endpoints over the resolved corpus and active forecasts. Endpoints documented at https://crene.com/developers.
• ·Probability API (design partner). Authenticated write access for arbitrary forward looking questions. Available under separate written terms with design partner customers.
• ·Data licensing. Direct licensing of the resolved event archive, calibration history, and cluster decompositions under separate written terms. Also available through marketplaces (Neudata, Eagle Alpha, Monda).

The service is provided as a data and infrastructure product. Crene does not provide financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice. Outputs are statistical estimates, not recommendations.

Some surfaces (saved views, notifications, future platform features, and access to the design partner API) require an account. You are responsible for the accuracy of your account information, the confidentiality of your credentials, and all activity occurring under your account.

You must promptly notify Crene at stephen@crene.com of any unauthorized access. Crene may suspend or terminate accounts that we reasonably believe have been compromised or used in violation of these Terms.

Crene's services are intended for use by businesses and adults in a professional capacity. The service is not designed for consumer or personal entertainment use.

Public read endpoints are provided without authentication. By using them, you agree:

• ·Not to misrepresent Crene data as your own original research without attribution.
• ·Not to scrape or replicate the corpus at a rate intended to substitute for licensing the dataset directly.
• ·Not to use the data to harm any natural person, including discrimination, harassment, surveillance, or facilitating illegal activity.
• ·Not to interfere with the integrity of the platform (rate-limit evasion, injection, distributed scraping designed to evade fair use).
• ·Not to use the data to train a competing model or competing probability forecasting product without separate written agreement.

Crene reserves the right to introduce rate limits, require API keys, or restrict access in response to abuse, even on currently public endpoints. We will give reasonable advance notice of access changes affecting legitimate institutional users where practical.

Direct dataset licenses and design partner API access are governed by separate written agreements that take precedence over these Terms in case of conflict. Where no separate agreement exists, the following applies to all access:

• ·Crene retains all rights, title, and interest in the corpus, the probability data, the resolution methodology, and the platform.
• ·Customer receives a limited, non-exclusive, non-transferable license to use the data for internal business purposes for the duration of access.
• ·Redistribution to third parties, sub-licensing, or public republication of substantial portions of the dataset requires separate written permission.
• ·Use of the data in client deliverables (research notes, internal models, decision systems) is permitted; reasonable attribution to Crene is expected for material reliance.

The platform, its design, code, methodology documentation, the resolved event corpus structure, and Crene branding are owned by Crene, Inc. and protected by US and international intellectual property law.

The underlying frontier AI models (Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok) are operated by their respective providers (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, xAI) under their own terms. Crene queries these models in production and is not a licensor of the underlying models themselves.

Source documents referenced in resolution provenance (SEC filings, BLS releases, Fed statements, etc.) are public records of their issuing agencies. Crene cites and links to them; we do not claim ownership of source data.

No advice. Crene is a data and infrastructure product, not an investment adviser, broker, dealer, legal counsel, or other regulated professional. Probability data is statistical output. It is not a recommendation, solicitation, or guarantee of any outcome.

No warranty. The service is provided "as is" and "as available." To the maximum extent permitted by law, Crene disclaims all warranties, express or implied, including merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, and non-infringement.

Limitation of liability. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Crene's aggregate liability arising out of or related to these Terms or the service is limited to the greater of (i) amounts paid by you to Crene in the 12 months preceding the claim, or (ii) USD $1,000. Crene is not liable for indirect, incidental, consequential, special, exemplary, or punitive damages, including lost profits, lost data, or trading losses, even if advised of their possibility.

Nothing in this section limits liability that cannot be limited under applicable law (including liability for fraud, willful misconduct, or violation of mandatory consumer protections where applicable).

Customer agrees to indemnify and hold harmless Crene, its officers, employees, and agents from any third-party claim arising from Customer's breach of these Terms, misuse of the data, or violation of applicable law in connection with use of the service.

Either party may terminate access at any time, with or without cause, by written notice (email is sufficient). Crene may suspend or terminate access immediately on reasonable belief of breach.

Sections that by their nature should survive termination (intellectual property, disclaimers and limitations, indemnification, governing law, dispute resolution) survive.

These Terms are governed by the laws of the State of Delaware, without regard to its conflict of laws principles. The United Nations Convention on Contracts for the International Sale of Goods does not apply.

Informal resolution. Before filing any formal proceeding, the parties will attempt in good faith to resolve any dispute through written notice and a 30-day cure period.

Arbitration. Any dispute, claim, or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms or the service that is not resolved informally and exceeds USD $50,000 in amount in controversy shall be resolved by binding arbitration administered by the American Arbitration Association under its Commercial Arbitration Rules. The arbitration shall be conducted in English, seated in Wilmington, Delaware, before a single arbitrator. Judgment on the award may be entered in any court of competent jurisdiction.

Small claims carveout. Either party may bring an individual action in small claims court in lieu of arbitration if the dispute qualifies under applicable small claims rules.

No class. All disputes shall be resolved on an individual basis. Class actions, class arbitrations, and representative proceedings are not permitted.

Disputes below threshold. Disputes below USD $50,000 in amount in controversy that are not resolved informally may be brought in the state or federal courts located in New Castle County, Delaware, and both parties consent to exclusive jurisdiction and venue there.

Crene may revise these Terms. Material changes will be disclosed on this page with an updated date. For active design partner customers, material changes will also be sent by email. Continued use after the effective date of a revision constitutes acceptance.

Crene, Inc.
Delaware corporation, principal place of business in California.

Email: stephen@crene.com

Privacy questions: see the Privacy Policy.