Vox's Future Perfect staff, along with other experts, released their predictions for major global events in 2026, marking their seventh annual forecast. The predictions, published January 1, 2026, carry a somber tone, reflecting concerns about the state of global affairs.
The forecasts cover a range of critical issues, including the stability of electoral democracy in the United States, the potential for a U.S. recession, and the risk of military conflict over Taiwan. Other predictions address the future of food technology, specifically the possibility of more U.S. states banning lab-cultivated meat, and the increasing threat of extreme weather events, such as a Category 5 hurricane making landfall in the U.S. The predictions also touched on cultural events.
Each prediction is assigned a probability, reflecting the forecasters' confidence level. This approach aims to promote transparency and epistemic honesty, according to Vox. The goal is to provide readers with a clear understanding of the uncertainty inherent in forecasting future events.
The annual forecast from Vox's Future Perfect team provides a valuable, if potentially unsettling, glimpse into the challenges and uncertainties that the world may face in the coming year.
Discussion
Join the conversation
Be the first to comment