Russian losses in the war with Ukraine have been escalating at an unprecedented rate over the past 10 months, according to a BBC analysis. This surge in casualties coincides with increased efforts by the United States, particularly under the Trump administration, to broker a peace deal.

The BBC, in collaboration with independent outlet Mediazona and a team of volunteers, has been meticulously documenting Russian war losses since February 2022. Their methodology involves verifying deaths through official reports, newspaper articles, social media posts, and visual evidence from newly erected memorials and gravesites. As of now, they have confirmed the names of nearly 160,000 individuals killed while fighting for Russia in Ukraine.

Olga Ivshina of BBC News Russian stated that the increase in obituaries published in Russian sources is a key indicator of the rising death toll. In 2025, the number of obituaries rose by 40 compared to the previous year, coinciding with intensified peace negotiations led by the U.S.

While the confirmed number is substantial, experts believe the actual death toll is significantly higher. The BBC's analysis, which relies on verifiable sources, likely represents a conservative estimate. Military experts consulted by the BBC suggest that their examination of cemeteries, war memorials, and obituaries provides only a partial view of the total losses.

The rise in Russian casualties occurs against a backdrop of shifting geopolitical dynamics. The United States' push for a peace deal, particularly under President Trump, introduces a new element to the conflict. The U.S. administration's motivations for seeking a resolution remain a subject of speculation, with some analysts suggesting a desire to reduce international commitments and focus on domestic priorities.

The conflict in Ukraine has had a profound impact on both Russia and Ukraine, as well as the broader international community. The economic costs, human suffering, and geopolitical instability resulting from the war have prompted calls for a peaceful resolution. The current status of peace negotiations remains uncertain, but the rising casualty rate underscores the urgency of finding a diplomatic solution. Further developments are expected as the U.S. continues its efforts to mediate a ceasefire and facilitate a lasting peace agreement.