Tensions between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates regarding the future of Yemen have escalated, fueled by the prospect of a declaration of independence by the southern region. The dispute, according to sources familiar with the matter, has led Saudi Arabia to express concerns that the UAE's actions are a threat to its own security.
The disagreement centers on the future of Yemen, a nation embroiled in conflict since 2014, when Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, seized control of the capital, Sanaa. Saudi Arabia and the UAE intervened in 2015, leading a military coalition to restore the government of President Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi. However, the two Gulf states have since pursued diverging strategies, particularly in southern Yemen.
The UAE has supported and trained the Southern Transitional Council (STC), a separatist group seeking independence for South Yemen, formerly a separate nation until unification in 1990. The STC has gained significant influence in Aden, the country's interim capital, and other southern regions. Saudi Arabia, while also opposed to Houthi control, has prioritized maintaining a unified Yemen under the internationally recognized government, fearing that a fractured Yemen could create a power vacuum exploited by extremist groups and Iran.
The potential for a civil war within southern Yemen is a significant concern, analysts say. The rivalry between forces loyal to the Hadi government and the STC has already led to clashes in the past. A formal declaration of independence by the STC could trigger a wider conflict, further destabilizing the country and exacerbating the humanitarian crisis.
The dispute between Saudi Arabia and the UAE also has broader regional implications. Both countries have been active in the Horn of Africa, particularly in Sudan, where they have at times supported opposing factions. A breakdown in their alliance over Yemen could spill over into these other arenas, further complicating regional dynamics.
The situation in Yemen is closely watched by the international community, with the United Nations and other actors working to mediate a peaceful resolution to the conflict. The United States, a key ally of both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, has urged de-escalation and a return to political dialogue. The coming weeks are seen as critical in determining whether the tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE can be managed, or whether Yemen will descend further into fragmentation and conflict.
Discussion
Join the conversation
Be the first to comment