At the close of 2025, the Future Perfect team at Vox revisited 25 forecasts made at the beginning of the year, finding 19 predictions came to fruition while four did not. The annual exercise, conducted by Bryan Walsh, Dylan Matthews, Marina Bolotnikova, Dylan Scott, Izzie Ramirez, and Kenny Torrella, assesses the accuracy of predictions made with assigned probabilities, reflecting the team's confidence in each forecast.

The methodology involved marking predictions with probabilities higher than 50 percent that proved correct, or those with probabilities below 50 percent that did not occur, as "correct calls." Conversely, predictions with probabilities exceeding 50 percent that failed to materialize, or those with probabilities below 50 percent that did occur, were deemed "incorrect calls." Instances where forecasts could not be resolved due to unforeseen circumstances, such as governmental delays in data release, were excluded from the final tally.

According to the report, the forecasting process aims to provide insight into potential future trends across various sectors, including technology, politics, and economics. The team believes that assigning probabilities to predictions encourages a more nuanced understanding of uncertainty and allows for a more rigorous evaluation of forecasting accuracy.

The specific predictions that proved accurate and inaccurate were not detailed in the initial report summary. However, the team indicated that a full breakdown of each forecast, along with the reasoning behind its success or failure, would be published in a subsequent analysis. This detailed analysis is expected to provide valuable lessons for future forecasting endeavors and contribute to a better understanding of the factors shaping the future.