Crene freezes each completed week of a live thesis into a permanent review record: what moved, where models disagreed, and what the page said before the next PM, risk, or IC meeting.
Start with a live thesis. Crene decomposes it into assumptions, drivers, and model disagreement, then freezes each completed week so your team can see what changed without rewriting the map.
The desktop map shows the full relationship view. On mobile, Crene shows the same structure as an index: public theses, shared assumption themes, and the live assumptions attached to each map.
29 assumptions
31 assumptions
168 assumptions
38 assumptions
100 assumptions
109 assumptions
100 assumptions
1 assumptions
1 assumptions
1 assumptions
10 shared assumption threads connect the live theses. Markets, AI labor, AI productivity, rates, fiscal capacity, growth poles, dollar system, AI content, inflation, and demographics. Interactive graph on desktop.
View full example →The live map is proof of the method. The pilot is the product workflow. Use the public example to see how Crene structures one debated macro thesis, then submit a thesis your own team needs to review.
Every completed week is frozen as a permanent record: what moved, what stayed stable, where models disagreed, and what deserves attention before the next IC, risk review, or strategy meeting. Below, the actual Week 2 record from the live Warsh Fed map (Jun 25 to Jul 2).
A single map clarifies one decision. The weekly review cadence is what records how a team updates judgment over time.
Start with one live market view where the evidence has gotten messier. Crene turns it into assumptions, disagreement, and frozen weekly review records your team can review before the next meeting.
Explore public examples of thesis, factor, and scenario views behind Crene's private review workflow.
All examples →Will the United States account for more than 30% of global nominal GDP by 2050?
What determines whether AI expands, reduces, or restructures productive work in the United States by 2030?
Does India become a durable third pole of global growth, capital formation, and technology demand by 2035?
Can Europe convert threat perception into durable fiscal, industrial, and military capacity by 2030?
Resolved scoring is reported separately from still-accruing product maps.
Binary questions broken into observable components, model consensus, disagreement, and resolution criteria.
All thesis maps →Whether the Warsh Fed converts its hawkish June pivot into an actual 2026 rate hike. 100 child conditions spanning policy path, Fed communications, inflation, labor resilience, institutional reset, market pricing, and consensus narrative.
Whether realized enterprise AI absorption lags infrastructure investment. Nine weighted settlement indicators across six causal domains, plus 100 supporting children.
Will AI generated content exceed human generated content on the US internet before 2030? 100 child situations spanning platform dynamics, search and SEO, journalism, video and visual content, academic integrity, authentication infrastructure, economic disruption, legal frameworks, societal trust, and compute infrastructure.
Numerical variables decomposed into drivers, percentile distributions, model spread, and update trajectories.
All factor maps →What percentage of US GDP will be directly attributable to AI systems by 2030?
What will the S&P 500 Index (SPX) official close be on the final trading day of 2026?
What will the US 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield be at the last Treasury market close of 2026?
Crene is designed for teams that need inspectable assumptions, model disagreement, and update conditions before evidence is complete.
Crene maps one investment thesis your team is already debating, then tracks the assumptions, model disagreement, and update conditions over time.
Review a thesisPublic read endpoints for the proof layer. Private review customers get scoped write access around one live thesis.
API documentationBuilt by Stephen Lee. Seven years in institutional finance at Goldman Sachs and Credit Agricole, now building Crene for investment teams reviewing strategic theses.
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