Credibility you can measure.

Four AI models score source accuracy, verify predictions against outcomes, and surface divergence signals — at 81.9% verified accuracy.

81.9%

Accuracy

397

Resolved

371+

Sources

4

AI Models

Explore the data Accuracy methodology API docs →

Platform

Three layers of prediction intelligence

01

Predictions

AI vs Markets

GPT-4o, Claude, Gemini, and Grok independently analyze prediction market odds. Where their consensus diverges from market pricing, we surface the signal.

Updated every 30 min

02

Credibility

Source Scores

371+ public figures, media outlets, and analysts — each scored by verified predictive accuracy. Every claim tracked against outcomes.

371+ sources tracked

03

Signals

Intelligence Feed

Second-order effects, emerging divergences, and contrarian indicators — validated across multiple AI models before surfacing.

Multi-model validation

Built for

Teams that need prediction data, not prediction markets

Hedge Funds & Asset Managers

Alternative data layer for systematic strategies. API-delivered prediction signals and source credibility scores for integration into existing research infrastructure.

Structured JSON/CSV exportsHistorical accuracy dataDivergence alerts

Quantitative Research

Machine-readable prediction data with historical accuracy metrics. Designed for data pipelines, backtesting, and quantitative model inputs.

5,000 API calls/dayBatch export endpointsWebhook notifications

Intelligence & Advisory

Track the predictive credibility of public figures, analysts, and institutions. Surface who has been right — and who hasn't — with verified outcome data.

Source credibility scoresClaim-level verificationMulti-model consensus

Corporate Strategy

Monitor AI-market divergences across geopolitics, technology, finance, and regulation. Early signal detection validated across four independent AI models.

Cross-domain coverageCategory-level accuracyReal-time updates

4

AI Models

GPT-4o · Claude · Gemini · Grok

30m

Refresh

Continuous updates

4h

Resolution

Outcome verification

371+

Sources

Public figures & institutions

397

Resolved

Verified outcomes

API

Data delivery for systematic teams

Predictions, credibility scores, and divergence signals — delivered as JSON or CSV via authenticated REST endpoints.

REST APIJSON + CSVAPI Key Auth5,000 req/dayWebhooks

Developer docs

$ curl -H "X-API-Key: crn_..." \
  api-get.crene.com/api/export/predictions/

{
  "count":       150,
  "predictions": [{
    "question":     "Will Fed cut rates?",
    "ai_consensus": 45,
    "market":        38,
    "divergence":    7
  }]
}

Intelligence the market hasn't priced in.

Explore our research, or contact us for institutional API access.

Explore predictions Research methodology