Our Data

PREDICTION INTELLIGENCE PLATFORM

Structured forecasts,
verified outcomes.

Four frontier AI models independently forecast macro, earnings, and policy events. Every prediction is Brier scored and resolved against authoritative sources.

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Active Forecasts
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Events Resolved
Avg Brier Score
4
Frontier Models
HOW IT WORKS

Auditable pipeline

01
Event Detection

Automated scanners detect upcoming earnings, macro releases (CPI, NFP, PMI), central bank meetings, and market events.

02
Independent Forecasting

GPT-4o, Claude, Gemini, and Grok each forecast independently. No model sees another's output.

03
Consensus & Spread

Ensemble consensus computed as the mean. Spread (max minus min) measures disagreement across models.

04
Resolution & Scoring

Outcomes verified against BLS, Fed, SEC filings. Every prediction gets a Brier score. All data served via public REST API.

DATA PRINCIPLES

Built for trust

Public

Every prediction is publicly accessible and auditable.

Multi-Model

Four frontier models reduce single-provider bias.

Auto-Verified

Outcomes resolved programmatically against official sources.

Brier Scored

Probabilistic accuracy measured, not just binary correctness.

Start exploring

Browse live forecasts or access the API for institutional data feeds.

Crene — Our Data: Prediction Intelligence Platform