Cuba faces a looming energy crisis as its primary oil supplier, Venezuela, has been effectively cut off due to pressure from the Trump administration. This disruption, coupled with reduced shipments from other key suppliers like Mexico and Russia, has left the island nation with critically low oil reserves, estimated to be less than two months' worth, according to multiple reports. The situation has already triggered widespread power outages, economic contraction, and public unrest, despite the government's efforts to suppress dissent.

The Trump administration's actions against Nicolás Maduro's regime in Venezuela have significantly impacted Cuba, which has relied on Venezuelan oil through a barter system since 1960. This system was a cornerstone of Cuba's ability to secure crucial energy resources despite the long-standing U.S. embargo. The U.S. government has also exerted pressure on Mexico and Russia to curtail their oil exports to Cuba, further exacerbating the energy shortage.

The current crisis evokes parallels to Cuba's "Special Period" in the 1990s, following the collapse of the Soviet Union, its main benefactor at the time. As one observer noted, "It has been in terrible shape many times before." During that period, Cuba endured severe economic hardship, widespread shortages, and significant social upheaval.

The immediate future for Cuba appears bleak, with continued power blackouts and economic decline anticipated. However, Cuba has demonstrated resilience in the face of adversity throughout its history. The government is likely exploring alternative energy sources and seeking new trade partners to mitigate the impact of the oil shortage. The long-term consequences of this energy crisis on Cuba's political and economic landscape remain to be seen.