Will CIO survey data show more than 35% of enterprises pulling back generative AI budgets by Q4 2026?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
49%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Divergingmodels
45pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
Loading belief trajectory...
Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
70%+21 vs avg
Gemini
40%-9 vs avg
Claude
62%+13 vs avg
Grok
25%-24 vs avg
Key disagreementGPT-4o (70%) vs Grok (25%): Different weighting of factors