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Back to clusterPart ofDoes realized enterprise economic adoption of generative AI materially lag AI infrastructure investment expansion by December 31, 2026?
Event · TECHNOLOGY

Will enterprise software spend growth (CRM, ITSM, productivity, data) at the top 10 SaaS vendors decelerate in 2026 vs 2025, indicating AI is reallocating rather than expanding budgets?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026
58%probability

4-model average

LOWconfidence

building category history

—stability

loading

Divergingmodels

35pt spread

The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.

Belief trajectory

Loading belief trajectory...

Per-model probabilities

GPT-4o
70%+12 vs avg
Gemini
65%+7 vs avg
Claude
35%-23 vs avg
GrokGrok
65%+7 vs avg
Key disagreementGPT-4o (70%) vs Claude (35%): Different weighting of factors

Resolution criteria

SourceSalesforce, Microsoft, Oracle, SAP, ServiceNow, Workday, Adobe, Intuit, Snowflake, Atlassian earnings
CRENE-AIER-C005-20261231Generated May 11, 2026