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Back to clusterPart ofDoes realized enterprise economic adoption of generative AI materially lag AI infrastructure investment expansion by December 31, 2026?
Event · TECHNOLOGY

Will the Stanford AI Index 2027 report show fewer than 40% of enterprises with GenAI in 3+ business functions?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026
30%probability

4-model average

LOWconfidence

building category history

—stability

loading

Alignedmodels

10pt spread

The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.

Belief trajectory

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Per-model probabilities

GPT-4o
30%
Gemini
50%+20 vs avg
Claude
25%-5 vs avg
GrokGrok
35%+5 vs avg

Resolution criteria

SourceStanford HAI AI Index Report 2027
CRENE-AIER-C008-20261231Generated May 11, 2026