Will any Fortune 100 company publicly disclose that AI agents handle less than 10% of customer service interactions by Q4 2026?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
64%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Divergingmodels
55pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
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Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
30%-34 vs avg
Gemini
70%+6 vs avg
Claude
72%+8 vs avg
Grok
85%+21 vs avg
Key disagreementGrok (85%) vs GPT-4o (30%): Different weighting of factors