Will McKinsey's State of AI 2026 report show fewer than 30% of organizations with workflow-integrated AI deployments?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
41%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Divergingmodels
40pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
Loading belief trajectory...
Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
35%-6 vs avg
Gemini
65%+24 vs avg
Claude
25%-16 vs avg
Grok
40%-1 vs avg
Key disagreementGemini (65%) vs Claude (25%): Different weighting of factors