Will the BCG AI Maturity Index 2026 show fewer than 25% of enterprises in "AI-mature" tier?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
51%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Divergingmodels
37pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
Loading belief trajectory...
Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
35%-16 vs avg
Gemini
65%+14 vs avg
Claude
72%+21 vs avg
Grok
35%-16 vs avg
Key disagreementClaude (72%) vs GPT-4o (35%): Different weighting of factors
Resolution criteria
SourceBCG Build for the Future / AI Maturity report 2026