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Back to clusterPart ofDoes realized enterprise economic adoption of generative AI materially lag AI infrastructure investment expansion by December 31, 2026?
Event · TECHNOLOGY

Will Google Workspace AI seat penetration remain below 20% of total Workspace users in 2026 disclosures?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026
60%probability

4-model average

LOWconfidence

building category history

—stability

loading

Divergingmodels

37pt spread

The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.

Belief trajectory

Loading belief trajectory...

Per-model probabilities

GPT-4o
35%-25 vs avg
Gemini
70%+10 vs avg
Claude
72%+12 vs avg
GrokGrok
65%+5 vs avg
Key disagreementClaude (72%) vs GPT-4o (35%): Different weighting of factors

Resolution criteria

SourceGoogle Cloud earnings, Workspace product disclosures 2026
CRENE-AIER-C024-20261231Generated May 11, 2026