Will JLL or CBRE report AI-dedicated data center vacancy rates above 8% in any 2026 quarterly update?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
54%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Divergingmodels
47pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
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Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
65%+11 vs avg
Gemini
50%-4 vs avg
Claude
72%+18 vs avg
Grok
25%-29 vs avg
Key disagreementClaude (72%) vs Grok (25%): Different weighting of factors