Crene Logo
ClustersMethodologyData
Crene
Platform
Clusters
Data
MethodologyAPIOur Data
Sign inCreate account
Explore
ClustersData
Research
MethodologyAPI
Legal
TermsPrivacySupport
© 2026 Crene, Inc.
Back to clusterPart ofDoes realized enterprise economic adoption of generative AI materially lag AI infrastructure investment expansion by December 31, 2026?
Event · TECHNOLOGY

Will Amazon AWS operating margins decline by more than 150bps YoY in any 2026 quarter?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026
31%probability

4-model average

LOWconfidence

building category history

—stability

loading

Mixedmodels

15pt spread

The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.

Belief trajectory

Loading belief trajectory...

Per-model probabilities

GPT-4o
40%+9 vs avg
Gemini
50%+19 vs avg
Claude
28%-3 vs avg
GrokGrok
25%-6 vs avg

Resolution criteria

SourceAmazon earnings calls 2026
CRENE-AIER-C043-20261231Generated May 11, 2026