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Back to clusterPart ofDoes realized enterprise economic adoption of generative AI materially lag AI infrastructure investment expansion by December 31, 2026?
Event · TECHNOLOGY

Will more than 3 announced AI data center projects above 200MW be cancelled in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026
34%probability

4-model average

LOWconfidence

building category history

—stability

loading

Mixedmodels

12pt spread

The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.

Belief trajectory

Loading belief trajectory...

Per-model probabilities

GPT-4o
35%+1 vs avg
Gemini
40%+6 vs avg
Claude
28%-6 vs avg
GrokGrok
35%+1 vs avg

Resolution criteria

SourceDataCenter Dynamics, industry trackers, press releases 2026
CRENE-AIER-C052-20261231Generated May 11, 2026