Will at least one major hyperscaler delay a previously-announced gigawatt-scale data center project by 12+ months?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
68%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
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Alignedmodels
10pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
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Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
65%-3 vs avg
Gemini
75%+7 vs avg
Claude
68%
Grok
65%-3 vs avg
Resolution criteria
SourceHyperscaler announcements, industry trackers 2026