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Back to clusterPart ofDoes realized enterprise economic adoption of generative AI materially lag AI infrastructure investment expansion by December 31, 2026?
Event · TECHNOLOGY

Will at least 3 enterprise software vendors embed AI as core (not add-on) by Q4 2026, suggesting AI is becoming infrastructure rather than premium product?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026
78%probability

4-model average

LOWconfidence

building category history

—stability

loading

Alignedmodels

10pt spread

The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.

Belief trajectory

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Per-model probabilities

GPT-4o
75%-3 vs avg
Gemini
75%-3 vs avg
Claude
78%
GrokGrok
85%+7 vs avg

Resolution criteria

SourceEnterprise software vendor product announcements 2026
CRENE-AIER-C089-20261231Generated May 11, 2026