Will the FTC open formal antitrust investigation into hyperscaler AI partnerships during 2026?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
69%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Alignedmodels
10pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
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Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
65%-4 vs avg
Gemini
70%+1 vs avg
Claude
68%-1 vs avg
Grok
75%+6 vs avg
Resolution criteria
SourceFTC press releases and investigation announcements 2026