Will any major industry analyst firm publish a 2026 report on "AI ROI deflation" or "AI value-realization gap"?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
71%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Alignedmodels
10pt spread
The three supporting readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.