The ensemble median sits at 3.95% with a collective 90% interval of 3.00% to 4.80%. The p5 to p95 span is 1.80 pp. Model-median dispersion is ±0.48 pp. The factor resolves at the Dec 31, 2026 horizon.
Resolved value is the constant maturity 10-year Treasury yield as reported on the H.15 release for the last trading day of calendar year 2026, in percent annualized.