Will prediction markets assign at least 40% probability to one or more Fed hikes in 2026 for 10 consecutive days?

Given the current Federal funds target range of 3.50 to 3.75 percent and the Fed's recent decision to hold rates on June 17, 2026, it is likely that the Federal Reserve will maintain a cautious approach. However, the June 2026 Summary of Economic Projections indicates a median expected rate of 3.8 percent by year-end, with nine of eighteen participants projecting hikes above the current target range. This suggests a notable possibility of rate hikes, but uncertainty remains about economic conditions and inflation pressures going into the final quarter of 2026.