Will the G7 Finance Ministers issue a joint statement calling for coordinated easing before November 30, 2026?
Resolves Jun 16, 2026 (38 days)
34%probability
4-model average
LOWconfidence
building category history
—stability
loading
Mixedmodels
12pt spread
These three readings tell you how much weight to put on the probability: confidence reflects category-level track record, stability tracks how the estimate has moved over time, models shows whether the four agree.
Belief trajectory
Loading belief trajectory...
Per-model probabilities
GPT-4o
35%+1 vs avg
Gemini
40%+6 vs avg
Claude
28%-6 vs avg
Grok
35%+1 vs avg
Resolution criteria
SourceUS Treasury press releases / G7 official statements